United Airlines is actively rolling out Starlink with about 52.2% fleet coverage, supported by multiple high-confidence news reports confirming Starlink flights from Newark (EWR) but specifically to Las Vegas, not to Madison (MSN). There are zero direct observations on the EWR-MSN route, and community sightings focus on regional routes and regional fleet completions, not mainline EWR-MSN flights. Given the lack of direct route observations and the fleet coverage slightly above 50%, the probability is anchored conservatively below fleet coverage, adjusted downward due to no confirmed Starlink flights on this route but acknowledging rollout progress and Newark-based Starlink flights.

Last calculated May 20, 2026