UA4385 — Fleet coverage: 96% — CRJ7
Route-specific Starlink probability calculated from fleet data, live flight observations, news and community sightings.
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for EWR–ILM
United Airlines has a moderate fleet coverage of 53.4% with Starlink installed on over 300 regional aircraft and plans to equip more than 800 planes by end of 2026. However, there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the EWR->ILM route, and the observed rate is 0%. Recent news confirms Starlink deployment on mainline aircraft starting late 2025, including inaugural flights from Newark, but no specific mention of EWR->ILM. Given the lack of direct route observations and moderate fleet coverage, the probability is anchored near the empirical observation rate (0%) plus a conservative uplift due to rollout status and news, capped below fleet coverage by more than 0.10. Thus, a probability of 0.40 reflects a cautious estimate that Starlink is possible but not confirmed on this route.
Last calculated May 21, 2026
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