United Airlines has a very high fleet coverage of 95.6% with Starlink fully deployed, which sets a strong baseline probability. Although there are zero direct route observations on EGE->ORD, the critical scoring rule mandates the probability not fall below the fleet ratio for fully deployed airlines with coverage above 50%. Recent news confirms active mainline Starlink installations and inaugural flights, and community sightings verify completion of regional fleet rollout. The lack of route-specific observations is likely due to incomplete flight tracking data rather than absence of Starlink. Therefore, the probability is anchored at the fleet coverage ratio of 0.956 with high confidence.

Last calculated May 22, 2026