United Airlines has installed Starlink on approximately 53.4% of its fleet, with over 300 regional aircraft equipped and plans to reach 800+ by end of 2026. However, there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the COS->IAH route, and recent news confirms Starlink mainly on regional and select mainline routes like EWR->LAS and the first 737-800 retrofit. Given the fleet coverage and rollout status but no route-specific sightings or observations, the probability is anchored conservatively below fleet coverage at 0.40. This reflects moderate likelihood due to fleet rollout but lack of direct route evidence.

Last calculated May 21, 2026