United Airlines has a fully deployed Starlink rollout with 95.6% fleet coverage, which sets a strong minimum probability floor. Although there are zero direct route observations on BWI->EWR, the high fleet coverage and recent high-confidence news about mainline Starlink installations and inaugural flights from Newark strongly support near-guaranteed availability. Community sightings confirm completion of regional fleet rollout, further reinforcing the high probability. Given the critical scoring rule and the airline's status, the probability is anchored at fleet coverage despite zero observations.

Last calculated May 22, 2026