United Airlines has a very high fleet coverage of 95.6% with Starlink fully deployed, and rollout status marked as fully_deployed. Despite zero direct observations on the BUF->ORD route, the critical scoring rule mandates the probability not fall below the fleet coverage ratio for fully deployed airlines with coverage above 50%. Recent news confirms active mainline Starlink installations and inaugural flights, and community sightings confirm completion of regional fleet rollout. Given the lack of route-specific observations but strong fleet-wide evidence, the probability is anchored at fleet coverage with high confidence.

Last calculated May 22, 2026