United Airlines has installed Starlink on 53.4% of its fleet, with strong rollout progress especially on regional aircraft (300+ equipped) and plans for 800+ by end of 2026. However, there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the BOI->SFO route, and recent news confirms Starlink mainly on regional and select mainline routes like EWR->LAS. Given the fleet coverage and rollout status, the probability is anchored near the fleet coverage but slightly discounted due to lack of route-specific observations and no direct news about BOI->SFO. The probability is set conservatively at 0.40, slightly below fleet coverage to reflect uncertainty.

Last calculated May 21, 2026