United Airlines has installed Starlink on 53.4% of its fleet, with over 300 regional aircraft equipped and plans to reach 800+ by end of 2026. However, there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the BFL->SFO route, and recent news highlights Starlink mainly on regional and select mainline routes like EWR->LAS and the first 737-800 retrofit. Given the fleet coverage and rollout status, but lack of direct route observations, the probability is anchored to the empirical observation rate (0.0) plus a conservative uplift reflecting fleet coverage and news evidence, capped below fleet coverage by 0.10, resulting in 0.37. This reflects moderate confidence that Starlink is installed on some aircraft operating this route but not yet widely confirmed.

Last calculated May 21, 2026