United Airlines has installed Starlink on over 50% of its fleet (53.4%), with confirmed rollout on 300+ regional aircraft and plans to reach 800+ planes. However, there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the ATL->FLL route, and recent news confirms Starlink primarily on regional and select mainline routes like EWR->LAS and the first 737-800 retrofit. Given the lack of route-specific observations and the medium confidence in rollout status, the probability is anchored below fleet coverage but elevated by rollout news and regional completion, resulting in a conservative estimate of 0.40.

Last calculated May 21, 2026