Based on route-level Starlink data (4% likelihood)
Equipped
Fleet Size
Coverage
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for ARN–VBY
Given the very low fleet coverage of 4.1% and zero observed Starlink flights on the ARN->VBY route, the probability is anchored to the fleet coverage ratio. There is no recent news, community sightings, or Perplexity-verified context to suggest higher likelihood. Therefore, the probability is conservatively set slightly above zero but not exceeding the fleet coverage ratio by more than 0.10, resulting in a score of 0.041. The confidence is medium due to the lack of direct observations but known fleet rollout status.
Last calculated May 20, 2026
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Prediction (15%) reflects the chance this specific flight has Starlink — based on route-level starlink data (4% likelihood). AT76 coverage (4%) shows how many AT76 aircraft have Starlink.
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