Alaska Airlines has a fleet coverage ratio of 72.2% with Starlink installed, and rollout status is 'installed'. Despite zero observed flights with confirmed Starlink on the PDX->AUS route, the critical scoring rule mandates the probability not fall below the fleet ratio for airlines with installed status and fleet coverage above 50%. No recent news or community sightings exist to increase the probability beyond fleet coverage. Therefore, the probability is anchored at 0.722 with a 'likely' confidence tier due to medium confidence in rollout data and lack of direct route observations.

Last calculated May 23, 2026