United Airlines has a very high fleet coverage ratio of 95.6% with Starlink fully deployed across its fleet. Although there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the LUK->MKC route, the critical scoring rule mandates that for airlines with fully deployed status and fleet coverage above 50%, the minimum probability must be the fleet ratio. Recent high-confidence news confirms Starlink installation on mainline and regional United aircraft, and community sightings verify completion of rollout on 300+ regional planes. Given the high fleet coverage and corroborating news and sightings, the probability is anchored at the fleet ratio of 0.956 despite zero route-specific observations.

Last calculated May 22, 2026