UA4516 — Fleet coverage: 96% — CRJ7
Route-specific Starlink probability calculated from fleet data, live flight observations, news and community sightings.
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for IAD–PHL
United Airlines has installed Starlink on 53.4% of its fleet, with confirmed rollout on over 300 regional aircraft and plans to reach 800+ planes soon. However, there are no direct observations of Starlink on the IAD-PHL route, and recent news highlights Starlink primarily on regional and select mainline routes like EWR-LAS and the first Boeing 737-800 retrofit. Given the zero observed Starlink rate on this route and moderate fleet coverage, the probability is anchored near the observation rate but adjusted upward due to rollout status and news, resulting in a conservative estimate of 0.40.
Last calculated May 21, 2026
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