Route-specific Starlink probability calculated from fleet data, live flight observations, news and community sightings.
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for IAD–MGW
United Airlines has installed Starlink on 53.4% of its fleet, with over 300 regional aircraft equipped and plans to reach over 800 by end of 2026. However, there are no direct observations of Starlink on the IAD->MGW route, and the observed rate is 0%. Recent high-confidence news confirms Starlink on mainline and regional flights, but no specific mention of this route. Given the fleet coverage and rollout status, the probability is anchored near the fleet coverage but adjusted downward due to zero observations on this route, resulting in a conservative estimate of 0.40.
Last calculated May 21, 2026
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