Southwest Airlines is currently in a rolling_out status with a high fleet coverage ratio of 86.2%, but no aircraft are yet equipped and no confirmed Starlink observations exist on the HOU->MEM route. Given the announced rollout starting summer 2026 and zero current equipped aircraft, the probability is anchored conservatively near the lower bound of rollout expectations (0.30) rather than fleet coverage, reflecting early rollout phase and lack of direct observations or sightings.

Last calculated May 22, 2026