United Airlines has a very high fleet coverage of 95.6% with Starlink fully deployed, which sets a strong baseline probability. Although there are zero direct observations on the CHO->IAD route, the rollout status is fully deployed and recent news confirms active Starlink usage on mainline United flights, including inaugural flights and media tests. Community sightings confirm completion of regional fleet rollout. Given the critical scoring rule for fully deployed airlines with fleet coverage above 50%, the probability cannot be scored below the fleet ratio despite zero observations. The lack of route-specific observations is likely due to incomplete flight tracking data rather than absence of Starlink.

Last calculated May 22, 2026