United Airlines has a very high fleet coverage ratio of 95.6% with Starlink fully deployed across its fleet. Despite zero direct observations on the BTV->RIC route, the critical scoring rule mandates a minimum probability equal to the fleet ratio for fully deployed airlines with coverage above 50%. Recent high-confidence news confirms active Starlink use on United mainline flights, and community sightings verify completion of regional fleet rollout. Given the lack of route-specific observations but strong fleet-wide evidence, the probability is anchored at fleet coverage with high confidence.

Last calculated May 22, 2026