United Airlines has a very high fleet coverage ratio of 95.6% with Starlink fully deployed, which sets a strong baseline probability. Although there are zero direct observations on the BDL->MKE route, the critical scoring rule mandates that for fully deployed airlines with fleet coverage above 50%, the probability cannot be scored below the fleet ratio. Recent high-confidence news confirms active Starlink usage on United's mainline fleet, including inaugural flights and media tests, and community sightings confirm completion of regional fleet rollout. Given the lack of route-specific observations but strong fleet-wide evidence and rollout status, the probability is anchored at the fleet coverage ratio with high confidence.

Last calculated May 22, 2026