Route-specific Starlink probability calculated from fleet data, live flight observations, news and community sightings.
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for XNA–ROA
United Airlines has an installed rollout status with a fleet coverage of 36.7%, which sets a floor for the probability on this route despite zero observed Starlink flights on XNA->ROA. Observation data is lacking, but recent news confirms active Starlink deployment on United's mainline and regional fleets, including media and inaugural flights. Community sightings also confirm rollout completion on regional US routes, supporting the fleet coverage floor. Given the fleet coverage below 50% and zero observations, the probability is anchored at the fleet ratio of 0.367 with no upward adjustment.
Last calculated May 24, 2026
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