United Airlines is actively rolling out Starlink with about 52.2% fleet coverage, supported by multiple high-confidence news reports confirming initial Starlink flights on specific routes like EWR-LAS and Boeing 737-800 retrofits. However, there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the TPA-IAD route, and no community sightings specifically mention this route. Given the fleet coverage and rollout status, the probability is anchored at the fleet coverage ratio of 0.522, with no upward adjustment due to lack of route-specific observations or sightings. This results in a conservative estimate reflecting possible but unconfirmed Starlink availability on TPA-IAD.

Last calculated May 20, 2026