United Airlines has installed Starlink on 46.5% of its fleet, with rollout status 'installed'. However, no Starlink observations were recorded on the SAV->SDF route, resulting in a 0% observed rate. Given the fleet coverage below 50%, the minimum probability is not forced to fleet ratio, but the absence of observations anchors the probability near the empirical rate. Recent news and sightings confirm Starlink deployment on United's regional fleet, which likely serves this route, supporting a probability near fleet coverage but not exceeding observed rate by more than 0.10. Therefore, the probability is anchored at 0.465 (fleet coverage) but adjusted conservatively due to zero observations, resulting in a final probability of 0.465.

Last calculated May 25, 2026