Southwest Airlines is currently in a rolling_out status with a high fleet coverage ratio of 86.2%, which normally would anchor the probability near that level. However, perplexity-verified context indicates zero aircraft currently equipped and rollout beginning summer 2026, with no confirmed observations or sightings on the SAN->MSY route. Given the rollout has not started and no direct evidence of Starlink on this route, the probability is anchored conservatively at 0.30, reflecting the fleet coverage as a floor but adjusted downward due to lack of current equipment and observations.