United Airlines has a very high fleet coverage of 95.6% with Starlink fully deployed, which sets a strong baseline probability. Although there are zero direct observations on the ROA->LGA route, the critical scoring rule mandates that the probability cannot be below the fleet ratio for fully deployed airlines with coverage above 50%. Recent news confirms active Starlink deployment on United's mainline and regional fleets, including inaugural flights with Starlink WiFi. Community sightings confirm completion of regional fleet rollout. Given the lack of route-specific observations but strong fleet-wide evidence and rollout status, the probability is anchored at the fleet coverage ratio with high confidence.

Last calculated May 22, 2026