United Airlines has a fleet coverage of 51.9% with Starlink installed, and rollout status is 'installed', which mandates a minimum probability floor of 0.519. Although there are zero direct observations on the ROA->IAD route, this is likely due to incomplete flight tracking data rather than absence of Starlink. Recent high-confidence news confirms Starlink installation on over 300 regional aircraft and the start of mainline retrofits, including Boeing 737-800s. Community sightings confirm completion of regional fleet rollout by early 2026. Given the fleet coverage and rollout status, the probability is anchored at fleet coverage and slightly increased to 0.52 to reflect recent news and sightings, while respecting the critical scoring rule.

Last calculated May 23, 2026