United Airlines has a very high fleet coverage of 95.6% with Starlink fully deployed, which sets a strong baseline probability. Although there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the RDM->LAX route, the critical scoring rule mandates that for fully deployed airlines with fleet coverage above 50%, the probability cannot be scored below the fleet ratio. Recent high-confidence news confirms Starlink installation on United's mainline fleet, including inaugural flights with Starlink WiFi, and community sightings confirm completion of regional fleet rollout. The lack of route-specific observations likely reflects incomplete flight tracking data rather than absence of Starlink. Therefore, the probability is anchored at the fleet coverage ratio of 95.6%, reflecting very high likelihood of Starlink availability on this route.

Last calculated May 22, 2026