United Airlines has installed Starlink on over 300 regional aircraft and aims for over 800 equipped planes by end of 2026, representing a 53.4% fleet coverage. However, there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the PVG-LAX route, and recent news confirms Starlink primarily on regional and select mainline routes like EWR-LAS and 737-800 retrofits. Given the lack of route-specific sightings and zero observed flights with Starlink on PVG-LAX, the probability is anchored near the empirical observation rate (0.0) but adjusted upward moderately due to fleet rollout progress and recent mainline installations. The score is conservatively set at 0.40, below the fleet coverage but reflecting rollout momentum and news evidence.

Last calculated May 21, 2026