United Airlines has an installed rollout status with a fleet coverage of 36.7%, which sets a floor for the probability at 0.367. Although there are zero confirmed Starlink observations on the PVD->IAD route, this is likely due to incomplete flight tracking data rather than absence of Starlink. Recent high-confidence news confirms ongoing installation on mainline and regional fleets, including first mainline flights with Starlink in late 2025 and early 2026. Community sightings confirm rollout completion on regional US routes. Given the fleet coverage below 50% and zero direct observations, the probability is anchored at the fleet ratio floor of 0.367 with no upward adjustment.

Last calculated May 23, 2026