United Airlines has a very high fleet coverage ratio of 95.6% with Starlink fully deployed, which sets a strong floor for the probability. Although there are zero direct observations on the OMA->PNS route, the critical scoring rule mandates not scoring below the fleet ratio for fully deployed airlines with high coverage. Recent news confirms active Starlink deployment on mainline and regional fleets, including inaugural flights with Starlink WiFi. Community sightings also confirm completion of rollout on 300+ regional aircraft. Given the lack of route-specific observations but strong fleet-wide evidence and high coverage, the probability is anchored at the fleet coverage ratio with high confidence.

Last calculated May 22, 2026