Route-specific Starlink probability calculated from fleet data, live flight observations, news and community sightings.
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for OAK–LAX
Southwest Airlines is currently in a rolling_out status with a high fleet coverage ratio of 86.2%, which normally would anchor the probability near that level. However, perplexity-verified context and recent news confirm that as of May 2026, Southwest has not yet equipped any aircraft with Starlink, and there are zero confirmed observations or sightings on the OAK->LAX route. Given the rollout is planned for summer 2026 and no aircraft are currently equipped, the probability is anchored conservatively near zero but elevated slightly to 0.30 to reflect the announced rollout status and high fleet coverage expected soon. This respects the critical scoring rule for rolling_out airlines with fleet_ratio >= 0.30, treating fleet_ratio as a floor but adjusting downward due to zero current equipment and observations.
Last calculated May 22, 2026
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