United Airlines has installed Starlink on 51.9% of its fleet, with rollout status 'installed', which sets a minimum probability floor of 0.519 for all routes including MOB->IAD. Although there are zero direct observations of Starlink on this route, the fleet coverage and multiple high-confidence news reports about United's ongoing Starlink deployment on mainline and regional aircraft support a probability slightly above the fleet ratio. Community sightings confirm completion of regional fleet rollout, and recent news highlights mainline Starlink flights, but no specific route sightings for MOB->IAD exist. Therefore, the probability is anchored at fleet coverage (0.519) and modestly increased to 0.52, reflecting the lack of direct observations but strong fleet-wide evidence.

Last calculated May 23, 2026