Alaska Airlines has a fleet coverage of 72.2% with Starlink installed, and rollout status is 'installed'. Despite zero observed flights with confirmed Starlink on the MFR->LAX route, the critical scoring rule mandates the probability not fall below the fleet coverage ratio for airlines with installed status and fleet coverage above 50%. No recent news or community sightings affect this route specifically, so the probability is anchored at the fleet coverage ratio of 0.722 with medium confidence due to incomplete observation data.