United Airlines has installed Starlink on 46.5% of its fleet, with rollout status 'installed'. No Starlink observations on the MFE->MCI route (0%), so empirical observation ratio is 0.0%. According to rules, since rollout_status is 'installed' but fleet coverage is below 50%, the probability should be anchored near the observation ratio but can be increased up to 0.10 above it if supported by news or sightings. Recent news confirms Starlink on mainline flights and regional fleet rollout complete, supporting a higher probability than zero. Therefore, probability is set near fleet coverage (0.465) but conservatively anchored to observations (0.0) plus 0.10, resulting in 0.465 as fleet coverage is the stronger evidence and rollout is installed. Confidence is medium-high due to lack of direct observations on this route but strong fleet and news evidence.

Last calculated May 25, 2026