Route-specific Starlink probability calculated from fleet data, live flight observations, news and community sightings.
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for LHR–BUD
British Airways has a fleet coverage of 50.5% with Starlink rollout status 'rolling_out'. Although there are zero confirmed Starlink observations on the LHR->BUD route, the fleet coverage is above 30% and rollout is actively progressing with at least one aircraft equipped. Recent news confirms a full fleet-wide deployment commitment starting in 2026. Per critical scoring rules, for rolling_out airlines with fleet coverage above 30%, the fleet ratio acts as a floor. Therefore, the probability is anchored at 0.505 despite zero observations, reflecting medium confidence due to limited direct route data but strong fleet and news evidence.
Last calculated May 23, 2026
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