Route-specific Starlink probability calculated from fleet data, live flight observations, news and community sightings.
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for LGA–GRR
United Airlines has installed Starlink on approximately 36.7% of its fleet, with rollout status 'installed' and medium confidence from multiple sources. Although there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the LGA->GRR route, the critical scoring rule for 'installed' status with fleet coverage below 50% sets the fleet ratio as a floor, not a ceiling. Recent news confirms Starlink deployment on mainline and regional United aircraft, and community sightings indicate rollout completion on regional US routes. Given the lack of direct route observations but strong fleet and news evidence, the probability is anchored at the fleet coverage floor of 0.367, rounded to 0.37, with a 'likely' confidence tier and medium confidence in the estimate.
Last calculated May 24, 2026
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