United Airlines has a very high fleet coverage ratio of 95.6% with Starlink fully deployed, which sets a strong baseline probability. Although there are zero direct observations on the LAX->RSW route, the critical scoring rule mandates that the probability not fall below the fleet coverage ratio for fully deployed airlines with coverage above 50%. Recent news confirms Starlink installation on mainline United aircraft including Boeing 737-800s, and community sightings confirm completion of regional fleet rollout. The lack of route-specific observations is likely due to incomplete flight tracking data rather than absence of Starlink. Therefore, the probability is anchored at the fleet coverage ratio of 0.956 with high confidence.

Last calculated May 22, 2026