United Airlines has a very high fleet coverage of 95.6% with Starlink fully deployed, which sets a strong baseline probability. Although there are zero direct observations on the LAX->BOI route, the rollout status is fully deployed and recent news confirms Starlink installation on mainline and regional fleets, including inaugural flights and media tests. Community sightings confirm completion of rollout on 300+ regional aircraft. Given the critical scoring rule for fully deployed airlines with fleet coverage above 50%, the probability cannot be scored below the fleet coverage ratio despite zero observations. Therefore, the probability is anchored at 0.956 with high confidence in the estimate.

Last calculated May 22, 2026