United Airlines has installed Starlink on approximately 53.4% of its fleet, with strong rollout evidence especially on regional aircraft (300+ equipped) and plans to reach over 800 planes soon. However, there are no direct observations of Starlink on the JAC->LAX route, and the observed ratio is 0%. Recent news confirms Starlink on mainline flights but primarily on other routes (EWR->LAS). Given the fleet coverage and rollout status, the probability is anchored near the empirical observation rate (0%) plus a conservative uplift due to rollout news and regional fleet coverage, resulting in a 40% probability. Confidence is medium due to lack of direct route observations.

Last calculated May 21, 2026