United Airlines has a very high fleet coverage of 95.6% with Starlink fully deployed, which sets a strong baseline probability. Although there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the IND->LGA route, the critical scoring rule mandates using the fleet coverage as a minimum probability for fully deployed airlines with coverage above 50%. Recent high-confidence news confirms Starlink installation on mainline United aircraft, including inaugural flights with Starlink WiFi. Community sightings also confirm completion of rollout on 300+ regional aircraft. Given the lack of direct route observations but strong fleet and news evidence, the probability is anchored at fleet coverage with a very likely confidence tier.

Last calculated May 22, 2026