United Airlines has a very high fleet coverage of 95.6% with Starlink fully deployed, which sets a strong baseline probability. Although there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the IND->IAD route, the critical scoring rule for fully deployed airlines with fleet coverage above 50% mandates using the fleet ratio as a minimum probability. Recent news confirms active Starlink installation on mainline United aircraft, including inaugural flights and media tests, supporting the high probability. Community sightings confirm completion of regional fleet rollout, further reinforcing the estimate. The lack of route-specific observations likely reflects incomplete flight tracking data rather than absence of Starlink service.

Last calculated May 22, 2026