Route-specific Starlink probability calculated from fleet data, live flight observations, news and community sightings.
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for IAD–SJO
United Airlines is actively rolling out Starlink with about 52.2% fleet coverage, supported by multiple recent high-confidence news reports confirming operational Starlink flights on mainline aircraft and regional fleet completion. However, there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the IAD->SJO route, so the probability is anchored to the fleet coverage ratio of 52.2%. Given the medium confidence in rollout status and no route-specific sightings, the probability is set at the fleet coverage level without upward adjustment.
Last calculated May 20, 2026
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