United Airlines has an installed rollout status with a fleet coverage of 36.7%, which sets a floor for the probability on this route. Although there are zero observed flights with confirmed Starlink on the IAD->ROC route, this is likely due to incomplete flight tracking data rather than absence of Starlink. Recent high-confidence news confirms active Starlink deployment on United's mainline and regional fleets, including inaugural flights with Starlink WiFi. Community sightings also confirm rollout completion on regional US routes. Given the fleet coverage below 50% and zero observations, the probability is anchored at the fleet coverage floor of 0.367, rounded to 0.37, with a 'likely' confidence tier and medium confidence in the estimate.

Last calculated May 23, 2026