United Airlines has installed Starlink on 53.4% of its fleet, with over 300 regional aircraft equipped and plans to reach 800 by end of 2026. However, there are no direct observations of Starlink on the IAD->RIC route, and the observed rate is 0%. Recent news confirms Starlink on mainline United flights but only on select routes (EWR->LAS). Given the fleet coverage and rollout status, some aircraft on this route may have Starlink, but without direct observations or route-specific sightings, the probability is anchored to a conservative estimate below fleet coverage, set at 0.37 (fleet coverage minus 0.16) to reflect uncertainty and lack of direct evidence.

Last calculated May 21, 2026