United Airlines has a fleet coverage of 53.4% with Starlink installed on over 300 regional aircraft and plans to reach over 800 planes soon. However, there are no direct observations of Starlink on the IAD->MDT route, and recent news highlights Starlink primarily on mainline and regional routes different from IAD->MDT. Given the lack of route-specific observations and the medium confidence in rollout status, the probability is anchored below the fleet coverage ratio, adjusted downward to 0.40 to reflect uncertainty and absence of direct sightings on this route.

Last calculated May 21, 2026