United Airlines has an installed rollout status with a fleet coverage of 36.7%, which sets a floor for the probability at 0.367. Although there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the IAD->HNL route, the airline's ongoing rollout and recent high-confidence news about mainline and regional fleet installations support a probability anchored at the fleet coverage floor. No route-specific sightings or observations exist to increase the probability beyond this floor, and the zero observation count is considered incomplete data rather than evidence against Starlink presence. Therefore, the probability is conservatively set at the fleet coverage ratio of 0.37 with a likely confidence tier.

Last calculated May 24, 2026