UA4865 — Fleet coverage: 100% — E45X
Route-specific Starlink probability calculated from fleet data, live flight observations, news and community sightings.
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for IAD–GSO
United Airlines has a very high fleet coverage ratio of 95.6% with Starlink fully deployed across its fleet. Although there are zero direct observations of Starlink on the IAD->GSO route, the critical scoring rule for fully deployed airlines with fleet coverage above 50% mandates a minimum probability equal to the fleet ratio. Recent high-confidence news confirms Starlink installation on mainline and regional aircraft, including inaugural flights with Starlink WiFi. Community sightings also confirm completion of rollout on 300+ regional aircraft. Given the high fleet coverage and strong rollout status, the probability is anchored at the fleet ratio despite zero observations on this specific route.
Last calculated May 22, 2026
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