United Airlines has a fleet coverage ratio of 51.9% with Starlink installed and rollout status marked as 'installed'. Despite zero direct observations on the IAD->EYW route, the critical scoring rule mandates a minimum probability equal to the fleet ratio for installed airlines with fleet coverage above 50%. Recent news confirms active Starlink deployment on mainline and regional fleets, including inaugural flights and media tests, supporting the likelihood of Starlink availability on this route. Community sightings confirm completion of regional fleet rollout, further reinforcing this estimate. Given the lack of direct route observations, the probability is anchored at the fleet coverage ratio with moderate confidence.

Last calculated May 23, 2026