United Airlines has a fleet coverage ratio of 51.9% with Starlink installed and rollout status marked as 'installed'. Despite zero direct observations on the IAD->EGE route, the critical scoring rule mandates a minimum probability equal to the fleet coverage ratio for installed airlines above 50%. Recent news confirms active Starlink deployment on United's mainline and regional fleets, including media flights and inaugural service launches, supporting a high likelihood of Starlink availability on this route. Community sightings confirm completion of regional fleet rollout, further reinforcing the estimate. Given the lack of direct route observations, the probability is anchored at the fleet ratio with a slight conservative rounding down to 0.519. The confidence is medium due to indirect evidence and no direct route observations.

Last calculated May 23, 2026