UA1678 — Fleet coverage: 100% — B38M
Route-specific Starlink probability calculated from fleet data, live flight observations, news and community sightings.
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for IAD–DCA
United Airlines has a very high fleet coverage of 95.6% with Starlink fully deployed across its fleet. Despite zero direct observations on the IAD->DCA route, the critical scoring rule mandates that the probability cannot be below the fleet coverage ratio for fully deployed airlines with coverage above 50%. Recent high-confidence news confirms Starlink is operational on mainline United aircraft, including Boeing 737-800s, and community sightings verify completion of regional fleet rollout. Given the near-complete fleet coverage and strong supporting evidence, the probability is anchored at the fleet coverage ratio of 0.956 with high confidence.
Last calculated May 22, 2026
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