United Airlines has installed Starlink on 46.5% of its fleet, with rollout status 'installed'. However, there are zero observed flights with Starlink on the HDN->ORF route, so empirical observation is 0%. Given the fleet coverage is below 50%, the minimum probability is not forced to fleet ratio. Recent news confirms Starlink is active on mainline and regional fleets, and sightings confirm regional US routes rollout complete. The probability is anchored near fleet coverage (0.465) but adjusted down due to zero observations on this route, resulting in a conservative estimate near the fleet ratio but not exceeding it by more than 0.10.

Last calculated May 25, 2026