UA3857 — Fleet coverage: 100% — B738
Route-specific Starlink probability calculated from fleet data, live flight observations, news and community sightings.
AI Probability Analysis
Route-specific score for CRP–TPA
United Airlines has a very high fleet coverage ratio of 95.6% with Starlink fully deployed across its fleet. Although there are zero direct observations on the CRP->TPA route, the critical scoring rule for fully deployed airlines with fleet coverage above 50% mandates a minimum probability equal to the fleet ratio. Recent news confirms active Starlink usage on United mainline flights, and community sightings verify completion of regional fleet rollout. Given the high fleet coverage and corroborating news and sightings, the probability is anchored at 0.956 despite no direct route observations.
Last calculated May 22, 2026
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